Carp Magic Number & Climax Series Scenarios (2026)
Central League #653-72-4 (W-L-D), PCT .42416.0 GB14 games left(as of September 19)
Pennant
Eliminated
This team has been mathematically eliminated from the pennant race.
Climax Series
Open
A Climax Series berth is not yet clinched, and currently cannot be clinched on this team's own wins alone.
New to these terms? What is a magic number? / How the Climax Series works
Where the Carp stand: a data-driven read
The commentary below is recalculated and regenerated every day from the standings published on NPB's official site (as of September 19).
The Carp are currently 6th in the Central League at 53-72-4 (W-L-D), a .424 winning percentage, with 14 games left to play. They trail the league-leading Tigers by 16 games. The Dragons, directly above them, are level in the games-behind column.
The gap to the 3rd-place BayStars is 10.5 games. A top-three finish earns a Climax Series berth.
Path to the pennant
The Carp have been mathematically eliminated from the pennant race this season, so the goal shifts to reaching the Climax Series: a top-three finish keeps the road to the Japan Series open.
Path to the Climax Series
A Climax Series berth is neither clinched nor currently reachable on the Carp' own wins alone. The door is still open, though, so the path is to keep winning while watching the results of the teams around them.
2 head-to-head games remain against the 3rd-place BayStars — every win there closes the gap directly.
Reading the remaining schedule
14 head-to-head games remain on the Carp' league schedule. The biggest remaining matchup is 5 games against the Giants.
Of those, 14 are against teams currently above them in the standings and 0 against teams below. Games against the teams above are double-value: a win adds one to the Carp' column and pins a loss on a direct rival at the same time.
What-If Simulator
Pencil in results for upcoming games and see how the magic number, Climax Series race, and standings would change. You can simulate games between other teams, too.
Current record: 53-72-4 (W-L-D)
Pennant: Eliminated / Climax Series: Open
Carp games
Simulate games between other teams (7 matchups)
Season history
In the daily records since March 27, the Carp have been as high as 2nd (as of March 28) and as low as 6th (as of May 9). They currently sit 6th.
Their deficit to first place peaked at 17.5 games (as of September 4) and now stands at 16 games.
The records show them in 6th place for 9 straight days.
- Tigers
- Giants
- Swallows
- BayStars
- Carp
- Dragons
Show data table
| Team | 3/27 | 3/28 | 3/29 | 3/31 | 4/1 | 4/2 | 4/3 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 4/14 | 4/15 | 4/16 | 4/17 | 4/18 | 4/19 | 4/21 | 4/22 | 4/23 | 4/24 | 4/25 | 4/26 | 4/28 | 4/29 | 4/30 | 5/1 | 5/2 | 5/3 | 5/4 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 5/12 | 5/13 | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/16 | 5/17 | 5/19 | 5/20 | 5/21 | 5/22 | 5/23 | 5/24 | 5/26 | 5/27 | 5/28 | 5/29 | 5/30 | 5/31 | 6/2 | 6/3 | 6/4 | 6/5 | 6/6 | 6/7 | 6/9 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 6/12 | 6/13 | 6/14 | 6/16 | 6/17 | 6/19 | 6/20 | 6/21 | 6/22 | 6/23 | 6/24 | 6/25 | 6/26 | 6/27 | 6/28 | 6/30 | 7/1 | 7/2 | 7/3 | 7/4 | 7/5 | 7/7 | 7/8 | 7/9 | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/12 | 7/14 | 7/15 | 7/16 | 7/17 | 7/18 | 7/19 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/25 | 7/26 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | 7/30 | 7/31 | 8/1 | 8/2 | 8/3 | 8/4 | 8/5 | 8/6 | 8/7 | 8/8 | 8/9 | 8/10 | 8/11 | 8/12 | 8/13 | 8/14 | 8/15 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/18 | 8/19 | 8/20 | 8/21 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/24 | 8/25 | 8/26 | 8/27 | 8/29 | 8/30 | 8/31 | 9/1 | 9/2 | 9/3 | 9/4 | 9/5 | 9/6 | 9/7 | 9/8 | 9/9 | 9/10 | 9/11 | 9/12 | 9/13 | 9/14 | 9/15 | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Giants | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Swallows | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| BayStars | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Carp | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Dragons | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Show data table
| 3/27 | 3/28 | 3/29 | 3/31 | 4/1 | 4/2 | 4/3 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 4/14 | 4/15 | 4/16 | 4/17 | 4/18 | 4/19 | 4/21 | 4/22 | 4/23 | 4/24 | 4/25 | 4/26 | 4/28 | 4/29 | 4/30 | 5/1 | 5/2 | 5/3 | 5/4 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 5/12 | 5/13 | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/16 | 5/17 | 5/19 | 5/20 | 5/21 | 5/22 | 5/23 | 5/24 | 5/26 | 5/27 | 5/28 | 5/29 | 5/30 | 5/31 | 6/2 | 6/3 | 6/4 | 6/5 | 6/6 | 6/7 | 6/9 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 6/12 | 6/13 | 6/14 | 6/16 | 6/17 | 6/19 | 6/20 | 6/21 | 6/22 | 6/23 | 6/24 | 6/25 | 6/26 | 6/27 | 6/28 | 6/30 | 7/1 | 7/2 | 7/3 | 7/4 | 7/5 | 7/7 | 7/8 | 7/9 | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/12 | 7/14 | 7/15 | 7/16 | 7/17 | 7/18 | 7/19 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/25 | 7/26 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | 7/30 | 7/31 | 8/1 | 8/2 | 8/3 | 8/4 | 8/5 | 8/6 | 8/7 | 8/8 | 8/9 | 8/10 | 8/11 | 8/12 | 8/13 | 8/14 | 8/15 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/18 | 8/19 | 8/20 | 8/21 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/24 | 8/25 | 8/26 | 8/27 | 8/29 | 8/30 | 8/31 | 9/1 | 9/2 | 9/3 | 9/4 | 9/5 | 9/6 | 9/7 | 9/8 | 9/9 | 9/10 | 9/11 | 9/12 | 9/13 | 9/14 | 9/15 | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7.5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9 | 9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 15 | 16 | 16.5 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 15.5 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 17.5 | 16.5 | 16.5 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Recorded automatically every day (since March 27).
Head-to-head records & games remaining
Across the 5 intra-league season series, the Carp lead 1 and trail 4.
Their biggest season-series lead is against the Dragons (15-7-0), with 3 head-to-head games still to play.
Their biggest season-series deficit is against the Giants (6-14-0), with 5 head-to-head games left.
| Opponent | Record (W-L-D) | Margin | Games left |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 15-7-0 | +8 | 3 |
| Tigers | 10-11-1 | -1 | 3 |
| Swallows | 10-14-0 | -4 | 1 |
| BayStars | 7-14-2 | -7 | 2 |
| Giants | 6-14-0 | -8 | 5 |
| Total (intra-league) | 48-60-3 | -12 | 14 |
Intra-league games only (interleague play is not included). Sorted by season-series margin.
Central League standings
| Rank | Team | W-L-D | PCT | GB | Left | Pennant | CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigers | 71-58-1 | .550 | -- | 13 | M12 | Clinched |
| 2 | Giants | 72-59-2 | .550 | -- | 10 | Needs help | Clinched |
| 3 | BayStars | 66-64-3 | .508 | 5.5 | 10 | Needs help | 2W to go |
| 4 | Swallows | 57-73-2 | .438 | 14.5 | 11 | Eliminated | Open |
| 5 | Dragons | 57-76-2 | .429 | 16.0 | 8 | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| 6 | Carp | 53-72-4 | .424 | 16.0 | 14 | Eliminated | Open |
---- marks the Climax Series line (top 3)
Other teams
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