Swallows Magic Number & Climax Series Scenarios (2026)
Central League #457-74-2 (W-L-D), PCT .43515.5 GB10 games left(as of September 20)
Pennant
Eliminated
This team has been mathematically eliminated from the pennant race.
Climax Series
Open
A Climax Series berth is not yet clinched, and currently cannot be clinched on this team's own wins alone.
New to these terms? What is a magic number? / How the Climax Series works
Where the Swallows stand: a data-driven read
The commentary below is recalculated and regenerated every day from the standings published on NPB's official site (as of September 20).
The Swallows are currently 4th in the Central League at 57-74-2 (W-L-D), a .435 winning percentage, with 10 games left to play. They trail the league-leading Tigers by 15.5 games. The BayStars, directly above them, are 9 games ahead.
The gap to the 3rd-place BayStars is 9 games. A top-three finish earns a Climax Series berth.
Path to the pennant
The Swallows have been mathematically eliminated from the pennant race this season, so the goal shifts to reaching the Climax Series: a top-three finish keeps the road to the Japan Series open.
Path to the Climax Series
A Climax Series berth is neither clinched nor currently reachable on the Swallows' own wins alone. The door is still open, though, so the path is to keep winning while watching the results of the teams around them.
Reading the remaining schedule
10 head-to-head games remain on the Swallows' league schedule. The biggest remaining matchup is 4 games against the Tigers.
Of those, 6 are against teams currently above them in the standings and 4 against teams below. Games against the teams above are double-value: a win adds one to the Swallows' column and pins a loss on a direct rival at the same time.
What-If Simulator
Pencil in results for upcoming games and see how the magic number, Climax Series race, and standings would change. You can simulate games between other teams, too.
Current record: 57-74-2 (W-L-D)
Pennant: Eliminated / Climax Series: Open
Swallows games
Simulate games between other teams (8 matchups)
Season history
In the daily records since March 27, the Swallows have been as high as 1st (as of March 28) and as low as 4th (as of August 8). They currently sit 4th.
Their deficit to first place peaked at 16 games (as of September 1) and now stands at 15.5 games.
The records show them in 4th place for 33 straight days.
- Tigers
- Giants
- Swallows
- BayStars
- Carp
- Dragons
Show data table
| Team | 3/27 | 3/28 | 3/29 | 3/31 | 4/1 | 4/2 | 4/3 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 4/14 | 4/15 | 4/16 | 4/17 | 4/18 | 4/19 | 4/21 | 4/22 | 4/23 | 4/24 | 4/25 | 4/26 | 4/28 | 4/29 | 4/30 | 5/1 | 5/2 | 5/3 | 5/4 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 5/12 | 5/13 | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/16 | 5/17 | 5/19 | 5/20 | 5/21 | 5/22 | 5/23 | 5/24 | 5/26 | 5/27 | 5/28 | 5/29 | 5/30 | 5/31 | 6/2 | 6/3 | 6/4 | 6/5 | 6/6 | 6/7 | 6/9 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 6/12 | 6/13 | 6/14 | 6/16 | 6/17 | 6/19 | 6/20 | 6/21 | 6/22 | 6/23 | 6/24 | 6/25 | 6/26 | 6/27 | 6/28 | 6/30 | 7/1 | 7/2 | 7/3 | 7/4 | 7/5 | 7/7 | 7/8 | 7/9 | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/12 | 7/14 | 7/15 | 7/16 | 7/17 | 7/18 | 7/19 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/25 | 7/26 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | 7/30 | 7/31 | 8/1 | 8/2 | 8/3 | 8/4 | 8/5 | 8/6 | 8/7 | 8/8 | 8/9 | 8/10 | 8/11 | 8/12 | 8/13 | 8/14 | 8/15 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/18 | 8/19 | 8/20 | 8/21 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/24 | 8/25 | 8/26 | 8/27 | 8/29 | 8/30 | 8/31 | 9/1 | 9/2 | 9/3 | 9/4 | 9/5 | 9/6 | 9/7 | 9/8 | 9/9 | 9/10 | 9/11 | 9/12 | 9/13 | 9/14 | 9/15 | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/19 | 9/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Giants | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Swallows | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| BayStars | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Carp | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Dragons | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Show data table
| 3/27 | 3/28 | 3/29 | 3/31 | 4/1 | 4/2 | 4/3 | 4/4 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 4/11 | 4/12 | 4/14 | 4/15 | 4/16 | 4/17 | 4/18 | 4/19 | 4/21 | 4/22 | 4/23 | 4/24 | 4/25 | 4/26 | 4/28 | 4/29 | 4/30 | 5/1 | 5/2 | 5/3 | 5/4 | 5/5 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 5/9 | 5/10 | 5/12 | 5/13 | 5/14 | 5/15 | 5/16 | 5/17 | 5/19 | 5/20 | 5/21 | 5/22 | 5/23 | 5/24 | 5/26 | 5/27 | 5/28 | 5/29 | 5/30 | 5/31 | 6/2 | 6/3 | 6/4 | 6/5 | 6/6 | 6/7 | 6/9 | 6/10 | 6/11 | 6/12 | 6/13 | 6/14 | 6/16 | 6/17 | 6/19 | 6/20 | 6/21 | 6/22 | 6/23 | 6/24 | 6/25 | 6/26 | 6/27 | 6/28 | 6/30 | 7/1 | 7/2 | 7/3 | 7/4 | 7/5 | 7/7 | 7/8 | 7/9 | 7/10 | 7/11 | 7/12 | 7/14 | 7/15 | 7/16 | 7/17 | 7/18 | 7/19 | 7/20 | 7/21 | 7/22 | 7/23 | 7/24 | 7/25 | 7/26 | 7/27 | 7/28 | 7/29 | 7/30 | 7/31 | 8/1 | 8/2 | 8/3 | 8/4 | 8/5 | 8/6 | 8/7 | 8/8 | 8/9 | 8/10 | 8/11 | 8/12 | 8/13 | 8/14 | 8/15 | 8/16 | 8/17 | 8/18 | 8/19 | 8/20 | 8/21 | 8/22 | 8/23 | 8/24 | 8/25 | 8/26 | 8/27 | 8/29 | 8/30 | 8/31 | 9/1 | 9/2 | 9/3 | 9/4 | 9/5 | 9/6 | 9/7 | 9/8 | 9/9 | 9/10 | 9/11 | 9/12 | 9/13 | 9/14 | 9/15 | 9/16 | 9/17 | 9/18 | 9/19 | 9/20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 11 | 11 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15 | 15 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 15.5 |
Recorded automatically every day (since March 27).
Head-to-head records & games remaining
Across the 5 intra-league season series, the Swallows lead 2 and trail 3.
Their biggest season-series lead is against the Carp (14-10-0), with 1 head-to-head game still to play.
Their biggest season-series deficit is against the Tigers (7-14-0) and the Dragons (7-14-1).
| Opponent | Record (W-L-D) | Margin | Games left |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carp | 14-10-0 | +4 | 1 |
| BayStars | 13-12-0 | +1 | 0 |
| Giants | 10-13-0 | -3 | 2 |
| Tigers | 7-14-0 | -7 | 4 |
| Dragons | 7-14-1 | -7 | 3 |
| Total (intra-league) | 51-63-1 | -12 | 10 |
Intra-league games only (interleague play is not included). Sorted by season-series margin.
Central League standings
| Rank | Team | W-L-D | PCT | GB | Left | Pennant | CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigers | 72-58-1 | .554 | -- | 12 | M11 | Clinched |
| 2 | Giants | 73-59-2 | .553 | -- | 9 | Needs help | Clinched |
| 3 | BayStars | 66-65-3 | .504 | 6.5 | 9 | Needs help | 1W to go |
| 4 | Swallows | 57-74-2 | .435 | 15.5 | 10 | Eliminated | Open |
| 5 | Dragons | 58-76-2 | .433 | 16.0 | 7 | Eliminated | Eliminated |
| 6 | Carp | 53-73-4 | .421 | 17.0 | 13 | Eliminated | Open |
---- marks the Climax Series line (top 3)
Other teams
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